Pork prices are now falling

After the meat price continued to rise for several weeks, it finally revealed a downturn. According to the monitoring data of the Zhejiang Provincial Department of Commerce, the price of meat in the farmers' market fell for the first time, a decrease of 0.2% compared with the previous month, among which pork had decreased by 0.6%. In response, the author visited Jingkelong Supermarket in Haidian District, Beijing. The price is 17.8/500g for pork ribs and 17.9/500g for lean meat. Most of the pork is sold out at around 7:00 pm. The staff member told the author that the latest meat The price dropped slightly, and this situation lasted for nearly a week. Because the supply was not large, it was basically sold out every day. In the showcase of fresh meat products, unlike in the past, supermarkets have used the eye-catching price-cutting labels to fill the entire showcase to attract consumers. However, many customers reported that prices were slightly higher than those before the price increase. In addition, the author also noticed that people not only paid attention to the price when purchasing meat products such as ham, but also paid attention to the details of raw materials and manufacturers of meat products.

Although pork prices have stabilized the upward trend, prices are still at record highs. The chain reaction brought about by the increase in meat prices is still spreading. It has a series of impacts on the pig breeding industry, catering industry, food, especially the meat industry and even the entire national economy.

The problem of pig breeding industry is frequently used as its upstream industry. The hog breeding industry has frequent problems in the near future. Due to the tight supply of pigs, there is no need for merchants to meet the huge market demand, and large-scale raised “swampy pigs” use unsterilized treatment. The catering industry refuses to feed "garbage pigs." Food waste is rich in organic matter and can easily provide growth and reproduction environments for pathogenic microorganisms and various flies. Relevant departments found colonies of Salmonella, Hydatid, Staphylococcus aureus, and Mycobacterium tuberculosis in the analysis of microorganisms in food wastes. These bacteria were strongly infective, and ordinary boiled heat could not kill germs and spread. The consequences of transmission are serious. In addition, pigs fed with water that has not been treated at high temperatures can easily cause pigs to become infected with swine fever. This is a highly contagious disease that threatens the swine industry. Therefore, "Zhushui Pig" has attracted widespread attention once it is exposed.

Catering industry chain reaction The downstream industry, the catering industry, is no exception. On the one hand, 14 well-known large supermarkets and restaurants such as China Resources Vanguard, Hualian, Lotus Lotus, and Quanjude, Hunan and Hubei have been exposed for sale of unlicensed animal products, and some even forged quarantine certificates. Affected by the high pork prices, the market conditions of the entire meat industry are not optimistic. Driven by interests, unscrupulous businessmen take “extreme” means to purchase unlicensed meat products through informal channels to reduce operating costs and obtain higher profits. On the other hand, affected by the rise in pork prices, the price of food related to it has started to increase. Beijing Daoxiang Village, Tianfuhao, Qingfeng Baozipu and other old capitals also joined the ranks. The average increase in the cooked food of the first two companies was 20%. Qingfeng's two kinds of buns with fresh pork as the main filling rose by 0.5 yuan per two.

Consumer price index and meat product price statistics According to the data from the National Bureau of Statistics, in the first half of the year, the cumulative increase in the prices of meat, poultry, and poultry products was 19.3% year-on-year, affecting the increase in CPI by 1.2 percentage points. It is the most influential category of consumer goods. This type of consumer goods is mainly affected by the continued high prices of pork. In the first half of the year, pork prices rose by 44.5% year-on-year, of which, the year-on-year increase in June was as high as 78.5%, the highest increase in 38 months. Affected by the increase in pork prices, the price of meat products rose by 2.3% year-on-year.

Why can pork prices stabilize? The increase in supply is undoubtedly an important reason. The relevant person in charge of the National Development and Reform Commission predicts that pork prices will remain high in the near future, but there will not be a similar surge in the previous period. Due to the increased demand for pork during the Mid-Autumn Festival, National Day, and Spring Festival holiday, and the long production cycle of pigs, pork prices are expected to fall after the Spring Festival next year.

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